As if the emerald ash borer’s incursion into northern New England wasn’t enough, now there’s another potentially devastating forest pest marching this way: the southern pine beetle.

Dendroctonus frontalis — the first name means “tree murderer,” we should note — is only a fraction of an inch long. But during outbreaks, they reproduce by the millions and can kill trees in a matter of weeks.

“They’re one of the most aggressive tree-killing insects in the world,” said Matthew Ayres, a biology professor at Dartmouth College, who has studied the species for 25 years.

A relative of the mountain pine beetle, which periodically ravage the lodgepole- and ponderosa-pine forests of the intermountain West, the southern pine beetle is native to the vast pine forests in the southeastern United States.

But now, because of the warming climate, the beetle is moving north. It’s established itself in New Jersey, Rhode Island, Connecticut and probably Massachusetts, according to Ayres. In New York, it’s on Long Island and has been trapped near Albany.

“There’s no doubt that northern forests in New Hampshire and Vermont are going to be challenged in the next few years — sooner rather than later — by southern pine beetles,” Ayres said.

Writing in the journal Nature Climate Change earlier this year, a team of researchers predicted “a plausible new threat” from the beetle “to vast areas of pine forest in eastern North America by 2050 and into subarctic Canada after 2080 under continued climate change.”

“It is a very big deal” for the northeastern U.S.,” said Kevin Dodds, a forest entomologist with the U.S. Forest Service, and one of the authors of the article. “It’s definitely a considerable forest pest.”

Cold winters have traditionally limited the southern pine beetle’s range. One night at 0 degrees Fahrenheit and most beetles are killed, Ayres said. At 5 degrees below zero, they’re pretty much all dead. The problem: “In the last 50 years (in our region), the coldest night of winter has warmed by 7 to 8 degrees,” Ayres said. In the next 50 years, it could rise another 10 degrees.

Adult female beetles are the ones who seek out new host trees. When they find a vulnerable pine, they burrow into the bark and release pheromones that alert other beetles, which swarm to the tree. Scientists call this a “mass attack.” The tree tries to fight back with resin, but the sheer number of invaders overwhelms its defenses. Beetles carve tunnels into the inner bark and lay eggs. After hatching, the larvae tunnel out and fly off to another tree. They can fly up to 2 miles and can produce multiple generations in a year.

During periodic outbreaks, the beetle’s numbers swell. They spread rapidly and kill pines in vast numbers. They then typically crash. In the south, outbreaks occur roughly on a 6-10 year cycle, though patterns can vary widely.

“The southern pine beetle has been recorded attacking and killing every species of pine with which they come into contact, and that’s more than a dozen,” Ayres said. It favors the “hard” pines like loblolly pine and shortleaf pine. It will kill pitch pines, and the pitch-pine barrens along the Atlantic coast from New Jersey to Maine are very vulnerable. It’s likely to go after jack pine and red pine, too.

The big unanswered question is how it will treat white pines.

Ayres said the beetle has killed white pines in Alabama, Kentucky and New Jersey. “We know they’re susceptible. What we don’t know well is how well the beetles reproduce in white pines.”

Kyle Lombard, the forest health program coordinator for the New Hampshire Division of Forests and Lands, said his office is monitoring the bug’s progress. He said, “We are not overly concerned it will be a real threat to our New Hampshire forests. We just don’t have a lot of the preferred host, and the winter temps in New England would severely knock it back or completely control it.”

In their mass attacks, southern pine beetles tend to favor forests where the trees grow close together. In New England, white pine doesn’t usually grow in pure stands, but as single trees throughout the woods. That might discourage the beetle.

Unlike with emerald ash borer, where there’s virtually nothing humans can do but wring their hands, the thinning of uninfected pine stands can help control the southern pine beetle.

“The best management strategy to discourage southern pine beetle outbreaks is to maintain healthy pine stands, and that is another advantage New Hampshire has — we are not averse to managing forests,” Lombard said.

“We can manage it, and we should,” Ayres said. “But we should also take this as a harbinger of other changes and challenges that could be facing northern woodlands. This won’t be the last.”

Joe Rankin lives in Maine. The illustration for this column was drawn by Adelaide Tyrol. The Outside Story is assigned and edited by Northern Woodlands magazine: northernwoodlands.org, and sponsored by the Wellborn Ecology Fund of New Hampshire Charitable Foundation: wellborn@nhcf.org.

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